Signal Generation Framework

This section covers the systematic approaches to generating and combining predictive signals for futures trading.

Key Topics

Low-frequency signals

List of signals that can be used in a systematic macro setting, going beyond the usual momentum, carry, value paradigm.

Multi-Horizon Framework

Learn how to combine signals operating at different time horizons, from intraday to multi-month, using decay curve analysis and daily IC weighting.

Alpha Signals Taxonomy

Explore evidence-based alpha signals beyond the traditional four factors (trend, carry, mean-reversion, valuation), organized by evidence strength.

Medium Frequency Trading

Discover intraday and weekly patterns including momentum effects, overnight anomalies, and short-term reversals.

Signal Combination

Methods for combining multiple signals while accounting for correlations, transaction costs, and estimation error.

Core Principles

  1. Empirical validation - All signals backed by academic research or robust backtests
  2. Decay awareness - Understanding and modeling how signal strength changes over time
  3. Cost-adjusted weighting - Balancing IC with transaction costs
  4. Diversification - Combining signals with low correlation to each other

Getting Started

Start with the Multi-Horizon Framework to understand how different signals interact across time horizons, then explore specific signal types in the taxonomy.