Intraday Momentum
Persistent returns within trading days, particularly strong in equity index futures.
- Horizon: First hour → rest of day
- Sharpe: 1.5-2.5 in major equity indices
- Implementation: Sign of first hour return predicts rest of day
Overnight Anomaly
Returns from close to next open differ systematically from intraday returns.
- Effect: Positive overnight, negative intraday in equities
- Rationale: Risk premium for holding overnight vs informed trading during day
- Decay: Limited evidence of decay, but capacity constraints
Weekly Reversal
Mean reversion at weekly frequency, distinct from daily patterns.
- Implementation: Fade weekly winners, buy weekly losers
- Horizon: 5-10 days
- Note: Interaction with monthly momentum requires careful signal construction
Implementation Considerations
- Higher turnover requires careful transaction cost modeling
- May benefit from electronic execution
- Consider interaction with lower-frequency signals